Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
18.73% ( 0.72) | 22.54% ( 0.09) | 58.74% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( 1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( 0.68) | 47.57% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( 0.62) | 69.77% ( -0.62) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% ( 1.22) | 39.35% ( -1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% ( 1.12) | 76.05% ( -1.11) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% ( -0.04) | 15.86% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.94% ( -0.07) | 45.07% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.73% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 10.58% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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