Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
27.65% ( 0.06) | 23.21% ( 0.04) | 49.14% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.16% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.17% ( -0.14) | 40.82% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% ( -0.14) | 63.21% ( 0.14) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( -0.03) | 27.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( -0.04) | 63.22% ( 0.04) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% ( -0.09) | 16.81% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% ( -0.16) | 46.79% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.18% Total : 49.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |