Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
48.34% ( 0.57) | 24.2% ( -0.3) | 27.46% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 56.58% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.52% ( 1.11) | 45.47% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% ( 1.05) | 67.8% ( -1.06) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( 0.67) | 18.91% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.6% ( 1.11) | 50.4% ( -1.11) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% ( 0.37) | 30.22% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% ( 0.45) | 66.38% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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