Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Eq Guinea0 - 1Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eq Guinea 4-0 Ivory Coast
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Equatorial Guinea 2-0 Guinea
With the exception of Senegal and Morocco, Equatorial Guinea were possibly the most impressive team in the group stages of the competition and have the chance to send out a clear message to the big hitters remaining in the competition with a victory in this one. Guinea have the experience advantage at this stage of the competition, but we feel that will not be enough to overcome The National Thunder in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Guinea |
38.56% ( -1) | 30.71% ( 0.43) | 30.73% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 39.8% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
