MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 04:13:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
May 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmo)

Malmo
2 - 1
Elfsborg

Bolin (40'), Kiese Thelin (57')
Botheim (21'), Pena (26'), Kiese Thelin (63'), Larsson (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zeneli (9')
Kaib (50'), Jebara (82'), Busanello (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Kalmar
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Halmstad
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Malmo 3-1 Elfsborg

Although Elfsborg have been competitive at the top of the table in recent years they have been notably weaker this campaign. While the visitors did win 3-1 in the reverse fixture it is difficult to ignore Malmo's consistently strong performances across the season as a whole, and their quality should bring them a positive result on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawElfsborg
70.22% (0.145 0.14) 17.82% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 11.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.26% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.066000000000003 0.07)40.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.064999999999998 0.06)62.53% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (0.052999999999997 0.05)10.26% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.37% (0.122 0.12)33.63% (-0.122 -0.12)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01% (-0.1 -0.1)43.99% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)80.12% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 70.21%
    Elfsborg 11.96%
    Draw 17.82%
MalmoDrawElfsborg
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.88% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.05% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.15% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 70.21%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.82%
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 11.96%

How you voted: Malmo vs Elfsborg

Malmo
75.4%
Draw
10.8%
Elfsborg
13.8%
65
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 7
Elfsborg
3-1
Malmo
Zeneli (34'), Hedlund (63'), Olsson (74' og.)
Abdulai (25'), Ouma (72'), Larsson (79'), Hult (90+3'), Bundgaard Sorensen (90+5')
Jorgensen (80')
Rosengren (51'), Christiansen (90+1'), Rieks (90+2'), Tinnerholm (90+5')
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Malmo
1-0
Elfsborg
Kiese Thelin (57' pen.)
Rieks (21'), Busanello (28'), Jansson (43'), Berg Johnsen (51'), Pena (81')

Frick (28'), Baidoo (73')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Elfsborg
3-0
Malmo
Aron Gudjohnsen (32'), Lagerbielke (36'), Okkels (54')
Romer (73'), Ondrejka (90+5')

Larsson (59'), Cornelius (70'), Busanello (72')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Elfsborg
3-2
Malmo
Baidoo (11' pen., 73'), Romer (79')
Kiese Thelin (42', 65')
Apr 11, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 2
Malmo
1-1
Elfsborg
Olsson (50')
Frick (58'), Zanden (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo1210113272531
2Djurgardens IFDjurgarden118122481625
3GAISGAIS117041613321
4HammarbyHammarby116051815318
5Mjallby AIF115241813517
6HackenHacken115241919017
7AIK FotbollAIK115242223-117
8ElfsborgElfsborg125162119216
9Halmstads BKHalmstad115061319-615
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna113531719-214
11Varnamo114251417-314
12SiriusSirius113351116-512
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg113261219-711
14IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping113261427-1311
15KalmarKalmar113171724-710
16Vasteras SKVasteras11128414-105


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