Vasteras have been very poor this season and already look likely to struggle to avoid relegation less than a third of the way through the campaign.
While Sirius have been far from impressive themselves, they have to be fancied at home against this opponent.
That said, despite Vasteras' dreadful record this season, they have at least so far avoided any big defeats - their largest being by a two-goal margin - so we feel the hosts will only claim a narrow victory in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
