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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
3 - 1
Estudiantes

Fernandez (11'), Rojo (58'), Villa (68')
Fabra (3'), Fernandez (20'), Zambrano (45+5'), Payero (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morel (76')
Morel (28'), Castro (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-1 Barracas Central
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-1 Estudiantes

 There is very little to separate the teams right now and either of them could end up victorious in this one. However, we just about fancy Boca Junior to see off the threat of Estudiantes, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 16.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
61.7% (-0.122 -0.12) 22.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 16.09% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 46.97% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (0.232 0.23)50.34% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (0.206 0.21)72.28% (-0.205 -0.2)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.040000000000006 0.04)15.82% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.070999999999998 0.07)44.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (0.306 0.31)44.2% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.249 0.25)80.29% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 61.69%
    Estudiantes 16.09%
    Draw 22.2%
Boca JuniorsDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 61.69%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.3% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.09%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes

Boca Juniors
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Estudiantes
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
0-1
Boca Juniors

Godoy (8'), Morel (45')
Advincula (54')
Molinas (15'), Fabra (41'), Advincula (43'), Rojo (50'), Fernandez (68'), Orsini (89')
Aug 15, 2021 10pm
Estudiantes
1-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (76')
Sanchez Mino (42'), Noguera (63'), Del Prete (90+1')

Rojo (65')
Sep 16, 2019 12am
Boca Juniors
1-0
Estudiantes
Reynoso (4')
Marcone (14'), Weigandt (20'), Capaldo (31'), Fabra (69')

Gomez (18'), Kalinski (45')
Aug 20, 2018 7.30pm
Estudiantes
2-0
Boca Juniors
Noguera (58'), Pellegrini (75')
Apaolaza (32'), Luguercio (65'), Pellegrini (94')

Nandez (24'), Goltz (32'), Barrios (49'), Perez (78'), Zarate (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1Racing ClubRacing321011477
2GimnasiaGimnasia32107257
3TalleresTalleres32105147
4HuracanHuracan32105237
5UnionUnion32104137
6Independiente Rivadavia32103037
7River PlateRiver Plate32016156
8EstudiantesEstudiantes32014226
9Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB32013126
10Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs320145-16
11Rosario CentralRosario31115414
12Boca Juniors31114314
13Instituto31113304
14LanusLanus311134-14
15Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield311134-14
16Barracas Central311123-14
17Atletico TucumanTucuman311123-14
18BelgranoBelgrano311168-24
19Deportivo Riestra310214-33
20IndependienteIndependiente302124-22
21Platense302113-22
22San Lorenzo201112-11
23Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
24Sarmiento301224-21
25Defensa y JusticiaDefensa301225-31
26BanfieldBanfield301215-41
27TigreTigre301216-51
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba300339-60
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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