MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 20:36:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 27, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
vs.
Velez Sarsfield

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 1-3 Talleres
Saturday, May 11 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Platense vs. Independiente
Sunday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Gimnasia vs. Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente win with a probability of 40.77%. A draw has a probability of 30.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield has a probability of 28.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it is 0-1 (11.87%).

Result
IndependienteDrawVelez Sarsfield
40.77% (-2.992 -2.99) 30.38% (0.119 0.12) 28.85% (2.873 2.87)
Both teams to score 39.96% (1.162 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.89% (0.661 0.66)67.11% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.66% (0.442 0.44)85.34% (-0.444 -0.44)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-1.393 -1.39)32.47% (1.39 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-1.599 -1.6)68.99% (1.597 1.6)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.17% (2.884 2.88)40.83% (-2.884 -2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.6% (2.485 2.49)77.4% (-2.487 -2.49)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 40.76%
    Velez Sarsfield 28.85%
    Draw 30.37%
IndependienteDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 14.91% (-0.96 -0.96)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.89 -0.89)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.469 -0.47)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 13.35% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 13.25% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.37%
0-1 @ 11.87% (0.63 0.63)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.547 0.55)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.667 0.67)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.287 0.29)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.305 0.31)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 2
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Independiente
Laso (27')
Aguilar (60')
Aug 27, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 2
Independiente
2-1
Velez Sarsfield
Gimenez Rojas (51', 90+5' pen.)
Baez (19'), Laso (87'), Marcone (90+13'), Rey (90+13')
Castro (83')
Romero (13'), Gianetti (56'), Gomez (89'), Osorio (90+8')
Mendez (14')
Feb 12, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Independiente
Aug 28, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Independiente
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Sonora (12')
Elizalde (30')
Pratto (90')
Fernandez (13'), Brizuela (85')
Feb 20, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Independiente
Ortega (45+4'), Caseres (59'), Fernandez (90+5')
de los Santos (40')
Fernandez (45+4'), Togni (90+1')
Laso (64')
rhs 2.0
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