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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Wolfsburg

 Despite the potential of a European hangover on Sunday, Tuchel's men should secure maximum points to bounce back from two defeats on the trot in all competitions. Wolfsburg have lost 24 and drawn twice in 26 visits to Bayern, and that wretched record is not expected to end this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
71.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 15.71% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 12.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.06% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05% (0.00099999999999056 0)6.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 71.96%
    Wolfsburg 12.33%
    Draw 15.71%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 8.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.57%
4-1 @ 5.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.79%
5-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 71.96%
1-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.46%
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.71%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 12.33%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
83.5%
Draw
9.9%
Wolfsburg
6.6%
91
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1-2
Bayern
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Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
4-0
Wolfsburg
Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217
> Bundesliga Full Table


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