Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
50.7% ( 0.61) | 22.83% ( 0.04) | 26.46% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 60.44% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60% ( -0.74) | 40% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( -0.77) | 62.36% ( 0.77) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.05% ( -0.06) | 15.95% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.78% ( -0.1) | 45.22% ( 0.1) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% ( -0.86) | 28.1% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% ( -1.1) | 63.77% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.63% Total : 26.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |