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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
35.13% ( 0.27) | 24.23% ( 0.73) | 40.64% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 60.34% ( -2.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.78% ( -3.5) | 42.22% ( 3.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.38% ( -3.6) | 64.62% ( 3.6) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( -1.48) | 23.71% ( 1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% ( -2.17) | 57.83% ( 2.17) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( -1.93) | 20.91% ( 1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% ( -3.11) | 53.63% ( 3.11) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.13% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.74) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.74) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.77% Total : 40.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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