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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg

 Without their home form, Union would certainly still be in the bottom three, and they will come into this clash as slight favourites to make it four home wins in a row. While it should be a close encounter, a fifth straight draw for Wolfsburg would be remarkable, but they have not enjoyed much success at this stadium, and that could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
44.83% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 26.04% (0.114 0.11) 29.13% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (-0.579 -0.58)52.25% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (-0.502 -0.5)73.95% (0.495 0.5)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.202 -0.2)23.23% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)57.14% (0.285 0.28)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)32.5% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.524 -0.52)69.02% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 44.82%
    Wolfsburg 29.13%
    Draw 26.04%
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.13%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
52.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wolfsburg
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Union Berlin
2-1
Wolfsburg
Knoche (12'), Behrens (79')
Waldschmidt (5')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Union Berlin
2-0
Wolfsburg
Siebatcheu (54'), Becker (77')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Wolfsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Awoniyi (24' og.)

Mohwald (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217
> Bundesliga Full Table


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