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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
38.06% ( 1.23) | 27.19% ( -0.28) | 34.75% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 50.23% ( 0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( 1.02) | 55.19% ( -1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% ( 0.83) | 76.43% ( -0.83) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( 1.22) | 28.11% ( -1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.21% ( 1.53) | 63.79% ( -1.52) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% ( -0.09) | 30.13% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( -0.11) | 66.27% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
P | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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