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EFL Cup
Ipswich logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Ipswich
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Taylor (12'), Aluko (76')
Hutchinson (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Championship

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Bristol Rovers

 With both teams, particularly Ipswich, expected to rotate their squads, this could prove to be an entertaining tie. However, McKenna has more players at his disposal that will want to impress, and we feel that they may edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
60.86% (-0.762 -0.76) 20.28% (0.393 0.39) 18.85% (0.361 0.36)
Both teams to score 58.96% (-0.759 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8% (-1.302 -1.3)37.2% (1.294 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59% (-1.417 -1.42)59.4% (1.409 1.41)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (-0.602 -0.6)11.85% (0.595 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87% (-1.292 -1.29)37.12% (1.283 1.28)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.40700000000001 -0.41)33.11% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.29% (-0.449 -0.45)69.71% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 60.86%
    Bristol Rovers 18.86%
    Draw 20.28%
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.142 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.326 0.33)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 60.86%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.242 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.28%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.091 0.09)
0-1 @ 4.34% (0.222 0.22)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 18.86%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Bristol Rovers

Ipswich Town
77.4%
Draw
16.1%
Bristol Rovers
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
0-0
Ipswich
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ipswich
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Chaplin (24'), Evans (55')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Ipswich
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Leahy (1' og.), Judge (11')
Holy (24'), Drinan (65')
McCormick (18')
Oztumer (77')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Ipswich

Upson (42'), Grant (90+1')
Ehmer (80' og.), Nolan (89')
Norwood (53'), Edwards (66')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Ipswich
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Sears (29', 68'), Chambers (44')
Dozzell (24'), Woolfenden (73')

Grant (86')
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