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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
59.62% ( 1.51) | 20.38% ( 0.02) | 20% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 60.71% ( -2.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.14% ( -2.31) | 35.86% ( 2.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.06% ( -2.59) | 57.94% ( 2.59) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.22% ( -0.31) | 11.78% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.03% ( -0.66) | 36.97% ( 0.66) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.81% ( -2.73) | 31.19% ( 2.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.47% ( -3.3) | 67.53% ( 3.29) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.75) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.62% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.64% Total : 20% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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