Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ1 - 4Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa score two goals in each half to secure a 4-1 win over AZ Alkmaar at the AFAS Stadion in the Europa Conference League.
Team News
Aston Villa boss Unai Emery names a strong XI for the Europa Conference League game with AZ Alkmaar on Thursday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Aston Villa |
60.66% ( -0.16) | 20.86% ( 0.06) | 18.47% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
