Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Swift Hesperange2 - 1Struga
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Swift Hesperange and Struga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Struga 3-1 Swift Hesperange
Thursday, August 10 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 10 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Struga had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Struga win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swift Hesperange would win this match.
Result | ||
Swift Hesperange | Draw | Struga |
55.27% ( -1.13) | 23% ( 0.68) | 21.73% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 54.31% ( -1.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.45% ( -2.44) | 45.55% ( 2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.12% ( -2.37) | 67.88% ( 2.37) |
Swift Hesperange Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.66% ( -1.23) | 16.34% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.06% ( -2.28) | 45.94% ( 2.28) |
Struga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.92% ( -0.95) | 35.08% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.17% ( -1.01) | 71.83% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Swift Hesperange 55.27%
Struga 21.73%
Draw 22.99%
Swift Hesperange | Draw | Struga |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.27% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 21.73% |
How you voted: Swift Hesperange vs Struga
Swift Hesperange
66.7%Draw
0.0%Struga
33.3%6
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 4pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Struga
3-1
Swift Hesperange
Ibraimi (22', 40' pen., 77' pen.)
Radic (23'), Krivanjeva (41'), Bojku (67'), Shabani (71'), Tairi (90+3')
Radic (23'), Krivanjeva (41'), Bojku (67'), Shabani (71'), Tairi (90+3')
Stolz (46')
R (63'), R (63'), Czekanowicz (76')
R (63'), R (63'), Czekanowicz (76')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-28 23:52:11
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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