Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta2 - 1Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Atalanta
Sunday, March 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Atalanta BC 2-3 Sporting Lisbon (Sporting win 4-3 on aggregate)
La Dea have not won in five in all competitions, suffering two defeats in that period, thus giving Sporting the confidence to end their winless run against Italian clubs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
38.64% ( 0.1) | 24.98% ( -0.02) | 36.37% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
