Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.55pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Union SG1 - 1Toulouse
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union SG 0-2 Genk
Saturday, September 16 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, September 16 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Marseille 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, September 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Union SG 1-1 Toulouse
Neither Union SG nor Toulouse are experiencing a purple patch of domestic form at the moment, but if last year is anything to go by, the 11-time Belgian champions are not to be underestimated on the European stage. Toulouse should also harness their knockout specialities from last year's Coupe de France success, but on this occasion, we are finding it nigh on impossible to separate the two teams and expect a low-key draw to be played out at the Constant Vanden Stock Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Union SG | Draw | Toulouse |
44.58% ( -0.06) | 24.98% ( -0.01) | 30.43% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.97% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.81% ( 0.07) | 47.19% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.58% ( 0.07) | 69.42% ( -0.06) |
Union SG Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% ( 0) | 21.2% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.92% ( 0) | 54.08% |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% ( 0.08) | 28.98% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% ( 0.1) | 64.87% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Union SG 44.58%
Toulouse 30.43%
Draw 24.98%
Union SG | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.43% |
How you voted: Union SG vs Toulouse
Union SG
50.0%Draw
33.3%Toulouse
16.7%36
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-09 20:39:37
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Arsenal 'suffer fresh striker blow as contract talks opened'
2
San Marino vs. Cyprus - prediction, team news, lineups
3
Man United 'rejected by manager target' ahead of Ten Hag decision
4
Liverpool 'name' Diaz asking price amid Barca, PSG interest
5
Barcelona 'working on deal' for 27-year-old Spain international
6
Arsenal, Man United 'still battling for £34m Serie A forward'
7
Arsenal 'target £65m PL striker' after Osimhen decision
8
Man Utd 'demanding £40m' for unsettled attacker
9
Strasbourg to sign Brazilian youngster 'ahead of future Chelsea move'
10
The 10 most expensive British transfers of all time
Sport News 24/7