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Stoke logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leyton Orient

Stoke
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Ince (43'), Campbell (89')
Duhaney (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Stoke City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Leyton Orient

Regardless of which team O'Neill selects on Sunday, Orient will fancy their chances of an upset. Nevertheless, Stoke should be able to come through this tie in what could prove to be a routine afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeyton Orient
49.69%25.17%25.14%
Both teams to score 51.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72%51.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88%73.11%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34%20.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77%53.22%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08%71.92%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.68%
    Leyton Orient 25.14%
    Draw 25.17%
Stoke CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leyton Orient

Stoke City
80.0%
Draw
8.9%
Leyton Orient
11.1%
45
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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