Friendlies 2
Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Moldova3 - 2Cyprus
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cayman Islands 0-4 Moldova
Tuesday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
We said: Moldova 1-1 Cyprus
Cyprus will be looking to claim their first away win since 2022, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a nation that has seen three of their previous five matches finish all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Cyprus |
56.76% ( -2.2) | 21.5% ( 0.19) | 21.74% ( 2.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( 2.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
