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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 6am UK
Sapporo Dome

Consadole
1 - 4
Cerezo

Arano (45')
Asano (73')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ceara (2'), Kato (17'), Kida (38'), Kagawa (76')
Funaki (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Consadole Sapporo 2-1 Cerezo Osaka

Consadole Sapporo have won three of their last four meetings with Cerezo Osaka, and with home advantage in their favour, we think that the hosts will claim another victory in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
45.21% (0.271 0.27) 25.09% (0.192 0.19) 29.7% (-0.459 -0.46)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.896 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (-1.051 -1.05)48.01% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (-0.972 -0.97)70.18% (0.977 0.98)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)21.26% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.49 -0.49)54.18% (0.494 0.49)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.851 -0.85)29.9% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-1.041 -1.04)66% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 45.21%
    Cerezo Osaka 29.7%
    Draw 25.09%
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.332 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.7%

How you voted: Consadole vs Cerezo

Consadole Sapporo
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Cerezo Osaka
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Cerezo
2-3
Consadole
Ceara (14' pen., 61')
Kaneko (6', 15'), Tanaka (64')
Sep 2, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Consadole
2-1
Cerezo
Gun-hee (86'), Aoki (90+4')
Nakahara (78')
Mar 19, 2022 7am
Gameweek 5
Cerezo
2-2
Consadole
Yamada (25'), Mendes (62')
Okamura (30'), Kaneko (76')
Sep 11, 2021 10am
Gameweek 28
Cerezo
0-2
Consadole

Inui (41')
Douglas (73'), Aoki (75')
Suga (56'), Fernandes (82')
Sep 8, 2021 11am
Gameweek 19
Consadole
0-3
Cerezo
Fujita (45+1'), Matsuda (51'), Okubo (88')
Tiago (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia16112327121535
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa167362622424
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
9FC Tokyo166552625123
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol155731717022
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810


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