Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Almeria |
45.52% ( -0.63) | 25.83% ( 0.17) | 28.65% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.36% ( -0.47) | 51.64% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% ( -0.41) | 73.42% ( 0.4) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.36% ( -0.49) | 22.64% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.73% ( -0.73) | 56.27% ( 0.72) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.46% ( 0.1) | 32.54% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.93% ( 0.11) | 69.07% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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