Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Girona |
27.76% ( 0.03) | 23.51% ( 0.01) | 48.73% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.88% ( -0.01) | 42.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.47% ( -0.01) | 64.52% ( 0.01) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( 0.02) | 28.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.02% ( 0.02) | 63.98% ( -0.02) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.54% ( -0.02) | 17.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.07% ( -0.03) | 47.93% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.76% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.88% Total : 48.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |