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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Osasuna

Williams (58'), Villalibre (90+6')
Berchiche (22'), Herrera (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garcia (40'), Garcia (47')
Herrando (34'), Ibanez (55'), Catena (73'), Garcia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Betis
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna

Both sides have selection issues ahead of this match, and it has the potential to be a very tricky match for Athletic, who will have a patched-up defence. The Basque outfit need to win to stay in the top-four race, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
65.44% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 21.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 13.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1% (0.034999999999997 0.03)50.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.029 0.03)72.78% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21%14.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.65% (0.07 0.07)48.35% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.51% (0.050000000000001 0.05)83.49% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 65.44%
    Osasuna 13.44%
    Draw 21.12%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 65.44%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.12%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 13.44%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
88.8%
Draw
8.8%
Osasuna
2.5%
80
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Osasuna
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Garcia (59')
Avila (90+4')
Williams (11'), Guruzeta (20')
Lekue (38'), Sancet (47'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Simon (90+4')
Sancet (59')
May 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Osasuna
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')
Apr 4, 2023 8.10pm
Mar 1, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Jan 9, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona35236675443175
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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