Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
55.15% ( 1.21) | 23.42% ( -0.33) | 21.43% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.3% ( 0.39) | 47.69% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.11% ( 0.36) | 69.89% ( -0.36) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.85% ( 0.58) | 17.15% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.61% ( 1.02) | 47.39% ( -1.02) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.42% ( -0.63) | 36.58% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.63% ( -0.64) | 73.37% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.8% Total : 55.15% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |