Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw has a probability of 18% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (3.75%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
69.36% ( -0.04) | 18.04% ( 0.5) | 12.59% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 51.51% ( -3.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.45% ( -3.69) | 39.55% ( 3.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.1% ( -3.95) | 61.9% ( 3.95) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.69% ( -0.99) | 10.31% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.26% ( -2.3) | 33.73% ( 2.3) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.43% ( -3.14) | 42.56% ( 3.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( -2.8) | 78.92% ( 2.8) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.98) 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 1.25) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.42) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.33) Other @ 4.44% Total : 69.36% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.01% Total : 18.04% | 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |