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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Rayo Vallecano logo

Cadiz
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Guardiola (74')
Alcaraz (55'), Espino (59'), Escalante (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Tomas (51'), Catena (58'), Falcao (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Cadiz
Sunday, February 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Cadiz's recent home form must be respected, and we are therefore finding it difficult to back an away victory in this match. Rayo are enjoying an excellent campaign, though, so it is tough to back them to lose. As a result, we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which would not be the end of the world for either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawRayo Vallecano
32.44% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 27.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 39.7% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)58.12% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22% (-0.029 -0.03)78.78% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)33.16% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-0.081 -0.08)69.76% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)64.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 32.44%
    Rayo Vallecano 39.7%
    Draw 27.86%
CadizDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 11.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.7%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Rayo Vallecano

Cadiz
25.4%
Draw
25.4%
Rayo Vallecano
49.2%
63
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 1pm
Rayo Vallecano
5-1
Cadiz
Isi (44' pen.), Garcia (45+1'), Lejeune (63', 89'), Camello (79')
Trejo (31')
Balliu (82' og.)
Mar 6, 2022 1pm
Cadiz
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Alcaraz (55'), Idrissi (63')
Akapo (10'), Alcaraz (37'), Idrissi (45+1'), Alejo (65'), Sobrino (82')

Isi (12'), Garcia (45+2'), Maras (62')
Sep 26, 2021 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Cadiz
Garcia (9'), Falcao (44'), Isi (87')
Isi (50'), Balliu (59')
Haroyan (23')
Bastida (45+1'), Haroyan (48'), Cala (56'), Perea (90+3')
Jun 14, 2020 8.30pm
Cadiz
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Gimenez (85')
Mari (39'), Cala (72'), Alex (90+4')
Trejo (52')
Qasmi (39'), Advincula (40'), Villar (90+4')
Montiel (90+2')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Cadiz
Trejo (74')
Advincula (57'), Saveljich (78'), Montiel (83'), Trejo (85'), Ulloa (93')
Alejo (38')
Gonzalez (55'), Mauro (63'), Lozano (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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