Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Girona.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
46.48% ( -0.01) | 24.49% ( -0.05) | 29.04% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.81% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% ( 0.26) | 45.71% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( 0.25) | 68.02% ( -0.25) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% ( 0.11) | 19.77% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% ( 0.17) | 51.81% ( -0.16) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( 0.18) | 29.2% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( 0.22) | 65.14% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.48% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |