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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Sevilla

Modric (81')
Ancelotti (13'), Kroos (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ocampos (70'), Kouassi (90+1'), Sow (90+8')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla

Sevilla's recent form has been strong, and Real Madrid will be missing a whole host of important players on Sunday night. We are expecting this to be a tight affair, but the home side's quality, especially in the forward areas, should allow them to secure an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
70.52% (-0.27 -0.27) 17.27% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 12.21% (0.344 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.18% (1.482 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (1.337 1.34)36.8% (-1.341 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (1.437 1.44)58.97% (-1.442 -1.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.69% (0.28299999999999 0.28)9.3% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.6% (0.67099999999999 0.67)31.39% (-0.675 -0.68)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.63% (1.454 1.45)41.36% (-1.457 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (1.262 1.26)77.87% (-1.265 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 70.52%
    Sevilla 12.21%
    Draw 17.27%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
2-0 @ 10.85% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.488 -0.49)
3-0 @ 8.59% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 5.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.5% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.175 0.18)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.14% (0.082 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.127 0.13)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 70.52%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.169 0.17)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.27%
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.099 0.1)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid
87.8%
Draw
9.6%
Sevilla
2.6%
115
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
Alaba (74' og.)
Ramos (76'), Navas (78'), Ocampos (85'), Soumare (87'), Lamela (90+7')
Carvajal (78')
Junior (85'), Ancelotti (85'), Camavinga (90+4')
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Sevilla
1-2
Real Madrid
Mir (3')
Jordan (90+1'), Torres (90+7')
Acuna (83')
Rodrygo (29', 69')
Vazquez (33'), Tchouameni (65'), Nacho (84'), Ceballos (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
3-1
Sevilla
Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')
Lamela (54')
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
2-3
Real Madrid
Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')
Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')
Nov 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Real Madrid
2-1
Sevilla
Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')
Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca36715142941-1236
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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