Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
46.99% ( -0.05) | 26.18% ( 0.03) | 26.83% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.86% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.94% ( -0.09) | 54.06% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.51% ( -0.08) | 75.49% ( 0.08) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( -0.06) | 22.99% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.21% ( -0.1) | 56.79% ( 0.1) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% ( -0.02) | 35.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.99% ( -0.03) | 72% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |