Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
39.74% ( -0.01) | 24.83% ( -0) | 35.43% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.01% ( 0) | 44.99% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.66% ( 0) | 67.34% ( -0) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( -0) | 22.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( -0) | 56.13% ( 0) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% ( 0) | 24.82% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% ( 0.01) | 59.41% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.74% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |