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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Osauna logo

Villarreal
2 - 0
Osasuna

Danjuma (42', 52' pen.)
Albiol (66'), Trigueros (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brasanac (27'), Herrera (49'), Cruz (61'), Kike (66'), Garcia (72'), Oroz (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-1 Villarreal
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Valencia
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna

Osasuna will certainly be the fresher of the two sides on Monday night, and we are expecting it to be a very close match. Villarreal are due a victory in the league, though, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to a narrow win in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.

Result
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
70.08% (0.714 0.71) 18.59% (-0.058 -0.06) 11.32% (-0.657 -0.66)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-1.933 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64% (-1.433 -1.43)45.35% (1.431 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-1.385 -1.39)67.69% (1.384 1.38)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26% (-0.214 -0.21)11.73% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.12% (-0.46 -0.46)36.88% (0.457 0.46)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56% (-2.063 -2.06)48.44% (2.061 2.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.45% (-1.539 -1.54)83.55% (1.539 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 70.06%
    Osasuna 11.32%
    Draw 18.59%
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.57 0.57)
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.63 0.63)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 9.32% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.99% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.205 -0.21)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 70.06%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.341 0.34)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.59%
0-1 @ 4.12% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 11.32%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Osasuna

Villarreal
73.9%
Draw
17.8%
Osasuna
8.3%
241
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 1pm
Oct 17, 2021 5.30pm
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Moreno (55')
Capoue (33')
Torro (26'), Avila (87')
Herrera (30'), Garcia (54'), Garcia (60'), Torro (86'), Avila (88')
Apr 11, 2021 1pm
Dec 19, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-3
Villarreal
Torres (70' pen.)
Sanjurjo (40'), Garcia (79')
Hernandez (19')
Moreno (7', 86'), Nino (29')
Pino (69'), Moreno (83')
Feb 2, 2020 5.30pm
Villarreal
3-1
Osasuna
Alcacer (45'), Pena (54'), Cazorla (59' pen.)
Cazorla (67'), Zambo Anguissa (90'), Nino (90')
Hernandez (48')
Estupinan (3'), Hernandez (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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