Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 37.34% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.21%).
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
37.34% ( -0.36) | 24.31% ( 0.04) | 38.35% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 60.3% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.62% ( -0.19) | 42.38% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.22% ( -0.19) | 64.78% ( 0.18) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( -0.27) | 22.6% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% ( -0.39) | 56.21% ( 0.39) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% ( 0.07) | 22.09% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% ( 0.11) | 55.44% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |