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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Exeter City |
40.35% ( -0.19) | 27.32% ( 0.33) | 32.33% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 49.31% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.88% ( -1.31) | 56.12% ( 1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.82% ( -1.08) | 77.18% ( 1.08) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% ( -0.72) | 27.26% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% ( -0.94) | 62.7% ( 0.95) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.8% ( -0.77) | 32.2% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.31% ( -0.88) | 68.69% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |