Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
19.99% ( -0.32) | 23.41% ( 0) | 56.6% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( -0.43) | 49.43% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( -0.38) | 71.47% ( 0.39) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% ( -0.58) | 39.04% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.23% ( -0.56) | 75.76% ( 0.56) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( -0.04) | 17.26% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.41% ( -0.07) | 47.59% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.39% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |