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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Napoli logo

Empoli
1 - 0
Napoli

Cerri (4')
Pezzella (54'), Bereszynski (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jesus (37'), Ngonge (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Frosinone
Sunday, April 14 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Napoli

Though not as accurate as they would like, Napoli have attempted the most shots in Serie A this season; by contrast, Empoli have faced the second-most. That should indicate the likely direction of play at Stadio Castellani, but it may still be only one goal that splits these sides by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawNapoli
19.99% (-0.325 -0.32) 23.41% (0.0040000000000013 0) 56.6% (0.327 0.33)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)49.43% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.383 -0.38)71.47% (0.389 0.39)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)39.04% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (-0.556 -0.56)75.76% (0.562 0.56)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)17.26% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (-0.067 -0.07)47.59% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 19.99%
    Napoli 56.59%
    Draw 23.41%
EmpoliDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.99%
1-1 @ 11.13%
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 11.84% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 10.39% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.09% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.59%

How you voted: Empoli vs Napoli

Empoli
10.6%
Draw
15.2%
Napoli
74.2%
66
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Napoli
0-1
Empoli

Cajuste (90+3')
Kovalenko (90+1')
Cancellieri (78')
Feb 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 24
Empoli
0-2
Napoli
Ismajli (17' og.), Osimhen (28')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
2-0
Empoli
Lozano (69' pen.), Zielinski (88')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Empoli
3-2
Napoli
Henderson (80'), Pinamonti (83', 88')
Bandinelli (4'), Viti (73'), Stojanovic (81'), Pinamonti (89')
Mertens (44'), Insigne (53')
Zanoli (22')
Dec 12, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Napoli
0-1
Empoli
Cutrone (70')
Zurkowski (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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