Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Empoli |
41.5% ( 0.38) | 26.46% ( 0.09) | 32.04% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.17% ( -0.48) | 52.82% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.55% ( -0.41) | 74.45% ( 0.41) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% ( -0.01) | 25.13% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% ( -0.02) | 59.84% ( 0.03) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( -0.55) | 30.73% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.02% ( -0.66) | 66.98% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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