Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
63.68% ( -0.02) | 20.06% ( 0) | 16.26% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% ( 0.01) | 40.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.86% ( 0.01) | 63.14% ( -0.01) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.85% ( -0) | 12.15% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.24% ( -0.01) | 37.76% ( 0) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.82% ( 0.02) | 38.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.05% ( 0.02) | 74.94% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.69% Total : 63.67% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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