Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
27.61% ( 0.13) | 25.08% ( 0.02) | 47.31% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.85% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.87% ( -0) | 49.13% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.8% ( -0) | 71.2% ( 0) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% ( 0.1) | 32.01% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( 0.11) | 68.47% ( -0.11) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% ( -0.07) | 20.79% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.54% ( -0.11) | 53.45% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.61% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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