Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
47.11% ( 0.51) | 26.69% ( -0.06) | 26.2% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.67% ( -0.03) | 56.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.64% ( -0.03) | 77.36% ( 0.03) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% ( 0.22) | 23.92% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.87% ( 0.32) | 58.13% ( -0.32) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.98% ( -0.4) | 37.01% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% ( -0.39) | 73.8% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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