Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
47.11% ( 0.51) | 26.69% ( -0.06) | 26.2% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.67% ( -0.03) | 56.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.64% ( -0.03) | 77.36% ( 0.03) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% ( 0.22) | 23.92% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.87% ( 0.32) | 58.13% ( -0.32) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.98% ( -0.4) | 37.01% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% ( -0.39) | 73.8% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |