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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
40.68% ( -0.52) | 27.06% ( 0.89) | 32.26% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( -2.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.87% ( -3.67) | 55.12% ( 3.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% ( -3.11) | 76.37% ( 3.11) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( -1.94) | 26.62% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% ( -2.65) | 61.85% ( 2.65) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( -2.1) | 31.74% ( 2.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.83% ( -2.48) | 68.17% ( 2.48) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.68% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 1.14) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
P | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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