MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 19:47:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Roma logo

Monza
1 - 4
Roma

Carboni (87')
Bondo (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Monza
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Torino
Monday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-2 Roma

Both teams are now scoring regularly and will expect to take points off the other, with Monza far from pushovers on home soil. Roma's winning run may therefore be curtailed, as they settle for just one point from an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawRoma
29.86% (-0.163 -0.16) 26.91% (-0.096 -0.1) 43.23% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 49.6% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (0.298 0.3)55.31% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.243 0.24)76.53% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)70.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.26700000000001 0.27)25.37% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (0.364 0.36)60.16% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Monza 29.86%
    Roma 43.22%
    Draw 26.91%
MonzaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.22%

How you voted: Monza vs Roma

Monza
22.1%
Draw
24.4%
Roma
53.5%
86
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Roma
1-0
Monza
El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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