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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Atlanta United

Philadelphia
3 - 2
Atlanta

Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Atlanta United

 Philadelphia Union have drawn their last five MLS games, and the spoils have been shared in each of Atlanta United's last two away matches. Given that the two sides are separated by just two points in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, and we expect a draw this Wednesday.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
55.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 21.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)44.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.96%
    Atlanta United 21.49%
    Draw 22.55%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia Union
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atlanta United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Philadelphia
1-0
Atlanta
Przybylko (71')
Andres Martinez (39')

Moreno (31')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
> Full Version


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