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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
64.51% ( 0) | 18.56% ( -0) | 16.92% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.77% ( -0.02) | 32.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.18% ( -0.02) | 53.82% ( 0.01) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.52% ( -0.01) | 9.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.2% ( -0.01) | 31.79% ( 0) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.88% ( -0.01) | 32.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.41% ( -0.02) | 68.59% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.54% 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.91% 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.56% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.96% 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 16.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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