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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Salt Lake
0 - 3
Houston


Chang (50'), Julio (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Baird (9'), Steres (29'), Carrasquilla (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 3-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, August 24 at 2.30am in US Open Cup

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Houston Dynamo

Given their victory in this fixture just three days before Sunday's affair, Houston Dynamo have a bit of an edge here but Real Salt Lake will look to make home advantage count. We are backing the sides to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawHouston Dynamo
55.76% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.2% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 21.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)47.23% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)69.46% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.77% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)46.72% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.3% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)36.7% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07)73.49% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 55.76%
    Houston Dynamo 21.05%
    Draw 23.19%
Real Salt LakeDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 55.76%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.05%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Houston

Real Salt Lake
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Houston Dynamo
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 2.30am
Semi-Finals
Houston
3-1
Salt Lake
Herrera (45+5'), Carrasquilla (105'), Caicedo (120+5')
Dorsey (22'), Herrera (38'), Carrasquilla (93'), Artur (118')
Julio (64')
Vera (38'), Arango (59'), Eneli (67'), Gomez (72'), Glad (106'), Palacio (114')
Vera (119')
May 7, 2023 1.30am
May 29, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-0
Houston
Wood (29'), Cordova (57'), Glad (90+2')
MacMath (79')
Feb 28, 2022 12am
Aug 19, 2021 3am
Gameweek 27
Salt Lake
2-1
Houston
Meram (6'), Julio (88')
Picault (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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