Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Strasbourg |
35.27% ( 0.31) | 27.74% ( 0.11) | 36.99% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 48.56% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.7% ( -0.38) | 57.3% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.87% ( -0.3) | 78.14% ( 0.3) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( 0.01) | 30.86% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.87% ( 0.01) | 67.14% ( -0.01) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% ( -0.43) | 29.78% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( -0.53) | 65.85% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |