Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
25.01% | 24.46% | 50.53% |
Both teams to score 53.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% | 48.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% | 70.58% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% | 33.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% | 70.4% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% | 19.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% | 50.86% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.03% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |