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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Nov 27, 2023 at 12am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Houston
1 - 0
Kansas

Escobar (39')
Carrasquilla (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leibold (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-1 Salt Lake (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, November 11 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Sporting Kansas City (Sporting Kansas City advances on penalties)

Both teams exceeded expectations in the regular season, and they each have a solid midfield shape and match-winners that can make the difference up front. If the match is as close as we anticipate, it could come down to penalties, giving the visitors the edge as Tim Melia has won all seven shootouts that he has been a part of in his professional career.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Sporting Kansas City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
57.86% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.62% (0.223 0.22) 20.52% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-1.044 -1.04)40.95% (1.04 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65% (-1.075 -1.08)63.34% (1.071 1.07)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.08% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)13.92% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.64% (-0.811 -0.81)41.36% (0.808 0.81)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.607 -0.61)33.64% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.668 -0.67)70.29% (0.664 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 57.86%
    Sporting Kansas City 20.52%
    Draw 21.61%
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.298 0.3)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.218 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Houston vs Kansas

Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
21.4%
Sporting Kansas City
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Kansas
1-0
Houston
Walter (60')
Espinoza (83')

Ceren (55'), Quintero (86'), Vera (90+2')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 37
Kansas
4-2
Houston
Russell (16' pen., 90'), Salloi (26'), Kinda (57')
Zusi (85')
Picault (51'), Quintero (76')
Junqua (16'), Hadebe (27'), Vera (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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