Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Charlotte FC
Nashville may be slightly fatigued following their midweek outing in the Champions Cup, and we think they will have to settle for a point in Saturday's home contest, especially after drawing three of their four competitive home games this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
Result |
Nashville SC | Draw | Charlotte FC |
46.33% ( 0.73) | 25.12% ( -0.14) | 28.56% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.06) |
51.25% ( 0.26) | 48.75% ( -0.26) |
29.15% ( 0.24) | 70.86% ( -0.24) |
78.93% ( 0.43) | 21.07% ( -0.43) |